The Tampa Bay Lightning (14-10-2) host the Calgary Flames (14-10-5) at Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday, December 12 at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Lightning lost to the Edmonton Oilers 2-1 in their most recent game, while the Flames are coming off a 4-3 victory over the Nashville Predators.

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Before watching this matchup, here is a peek at which club we think will bring home the victory in Thursday's action on the ice.

Over the last 10 contests, the Flames are 4-4-2 while scoring 26 total goals (10 power-play goals on 31 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 32.3%). They have given up 34 goals.

Lightning vs. Flames Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this matchup calls for a final result of Lightning 4, Flames 3.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-152)
Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Flames (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning are 14-10-2 overall and 3-2-5 in overtime matchups.
Tampa Bay has nine points (4-4-1) in the nine games it has played that were decided by one goal.
In the two games this season the Lightning recorded only one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
Tampa Bay has lost all four games this season when it scored two goals.
The Lightning are 14-5-1 in the 20 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 29 points).
In the eight games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 4-4-0 to register eight points.
When it has outshot opponents, Tampa Bay is 8-6-0 (16 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 10 times, and went 5-3-2 (12 points).

Flames Splits and Trends

The Flames have posted a record of 5-5-10 in overtime matchups to contribute to an overall mark of 14-10-5.
Calgary has earned 12 points (4-1-4) in its nine games that finished with a one-goal margin.
In five games this season when the Flames ended a game with only one goal, they earned a total of four points (1-2-2).
Calgary has earned three points (1-5-1 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
The Flames have earned 26 points in their 16 games with at least three goals scored.
Calgary has scored a single power-play goal in 12 games this season and has recorded 14 points from those matchups.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Calgary has posted a record of 10-2-2 (22 points).
The Flames have been outshot by opponents in 14 games, going 4-7-3 to record 11 points.

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