The Tampa Bay Lightning (40-23-5) take on the Utah Hockey Club (31-27-11) at Delta Center on Saturday, March 22 at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with each team heading into the game following a win. The Lightning defeated the Dallas Stars 3-2 in a shootout in their most recent outing, while the Utah Hockey Club are coming off a 5-2 victory over the Buffalo Sabres.

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Get ready for this matchup with a glimpse at who we predict will emerge with the victory in Saturday's game.

The Utah Hockey Club are 5-3-2 in the last 10 games, totaling 31 total goals (six power-play goals on 29 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 20.7%). They have given up 28 goals to their opponents.

Lightning vs. Utah Hockey Club Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this encounter predicts a final score of Lightning 4, Utah Hockey Club 3.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-123)
Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
Spread Pick: Utah Hockey Club (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have a 40-23-5 record overall, with a 6-5-11 record in games that have required overtime.
Tampa Bay is 8-8-3 (19 points) in its 19 games decided by one goal.
In the eight games this season the Lightning recorded only one goal, they finished 0-7-1.
Tampa Bay has scored exactly two goals in 12 games this season (2-8-2 record, six points).
The Lightning have scored at least three goals in 46 games (38-6-2, 78 points).
In the 25 games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it has an 18-6-1 record (37 points).
In the 35 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 22-13-0 (44 points).
The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 29 games. The Lightning went 17-7-5 in those matchups (39 points).

Utah Hockey Club Splits and Trends

The Utah Hockey Club have a 8-11-19 record in overtime matchups this season and a 31-27-11 overall record.
In the 28 games Utah has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 34 points.
This season the Utah Hockey Club registered just one goal in 10 games and they lost every time.
When Utah has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned 13 points (5-8-3 record).
The Utah Hockey Club have scored three or more goals 38 times, earning 60 points from those matchups (26-4-8).
Utah has scored a single power-play goal in 27 games this season and has registered 32 points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Utah is 21-11-5 (47 points).
The Utah Hockey Club's opponents have had more shots in 30 games. The Utah Hockey Club went 9-15-6 in those contests (24 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

The Finish Line With Jerry O'Neill And The Shot Doctor