The Tampa Bay Lightning (14-10-2) and Calgary Flames (14-10-5) square off at Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday, December 12 at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Lightning lost to the Edmonton Oilers 2-1 in their most recent outing, while the Flames are coming off a 4-3 victory over the Nashville Predators.

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Before watching this matchup, here's a look at which squad we predict will emerge with the victory in Thursday's action on the ice.

In the last 10 games for the Flames, their offense has totaled 26 goals while their defense has given up 34 (they have a 4-4-2 record in those games). In 31 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored 10 goals (32.3% conversion rate).

Lightning vs. Flames Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Flames 3.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-153)
Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Flames (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning are 14-10-2 overall and 3-2-5 in overtime matchups.
In the nine games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 4-4-1 record (good for nine points).
In the two games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
Tampa Bay has lost all four games this season when it scored exactly two goals.
The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 20 games (14-5-1, 29 points).
In the eight games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 4-4-0 to register eight points.
In games when it has outshot opponents, Tampa Bay is 8-6-0 (16 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 10 games, going 5-3-2 to record 12 points.

Flames Splits and Trends

The Flames have a 14-10-5 record this season and are 5-5-10 in contests that have required overtime.
Calgary has earned 12 points (4-1-4) in its nine games decided by one goal.
This season the Flames scored just one goal in five games and have gone 1-2-2 (four points).
Calgary has three points (1-5-1) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
The Flames have earned 26 points in their 16 games with at least three goals scored.
This season, Calgary has scored a single power-play goal in 12 games has a record of 5-3-4 in those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Calgary is 10-2-2 (22 points).
The Flames have been outshot by opponents in 14 games, going 4-7-3 to record 11 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

The Finish Line With Jerry O'Neill And The Shot Doctor