Stone-Cold Locks of the week…scorching hot ever since they shut down that hard rock app…I think that was the key, the app was holding me back. 43-41 on the season. 10-2 over the last 2 weeks. Can I keep my hot streak on the stove?! Or will I cool off…that is the million dollar question. Let’s make some picks.
Vikings (-3.5) vs Steelers- Thursday locks give me an opportunity to give out a Thursday night special and I absolutely love this one. Everyone is going to be on the Steelers here. Pittsburgh just beat Baltimore, the Vikings just lost to the lowly Lions, but I see an opportunity for value. The Vikings are getting key pieces to their defense back in this game and the Steelers top offensive lineman is out for this game. Plus, Dalvin Cook back out on the field for the Vikings. Think about it, last week felt like Pittsburgh’s Super Bowl, I expect a let down from an old QB on the road on a short week. Give me the Vikes -3.5, lock it up.
Falcons (+2.5) @ Panthers- This is a simple case of wrong team favored here. I cannot believe the amount of respect Cam Newton is getting in the betting market. Would you like to know what his record is since returning to the Panthers? That would be 0-2. He’s been brutal, this is not the Cam of old, this is just an old Cam. Meanwhile, we have a Falcons team…nevermind, I can’t make a good case for betting on the Falcons, we’re just betting against the Panthers here, Falcons +2.5, lock it up.
Chiefs (-9.5) vs Raiders- I think on first glance this seems like too many points to give up, the Chiefs are not the offensive juggernaut they’ve been in the past, they look sloppy, and out of sync…but one of the things I really like about this team is the way they’re playing defense and they’re finding ways to win. As bad as it feels like this team has been, they’re currently riding a 5 game win streak, with an average margin of victory of 11.8. And just a couple weeks back, they absolutely smoked the Raiders on the Raiders home field (41-14). I think the Raiders are cooked, I mean we’re talking about a team that could only put up 15 on Washington. Give me the Chiefs in another blowout. Lock it up.
49ers (-1.5) @ Bengals- This is a styles clash right here, I love this matchup. Cincy wants to air it deep and hit you with the home-run shot, and the 49ers want to run the ball down your throat. The issue for Cincy in this one is that their secondary is banged up, their leading linebacker is banged up, and their d-line is banged up. And as if that weren’t enough, Joe Burrow has a fractured pinky, and if you go back to last week- he was not the same after that injury. Teams have seemed to figure out how to slow down Ja’Mar Chase as well, last 5 weeks he’s only surpassed 50 yards receiving once. I’ll take the more physical team in the 49ers -1.5. Lock it up.
Bills (+3.5) @ Bucs- I’ll just get this out there, I trust Tom Brady way more than I trust Josh Allen, but that’s also part of the reason I’m taking Buffalo here. As up and down as Allen can be, he usually doesn’t give you back to back weeks where he’s completely off the mark. This feels like the type of game that better suits his abilities than what we saw last week against Belichick and the Pats. This game is going to be a track meet, I expect a lot of points, and once Allen gets rolling, he’s really tough to stop. Plus, outside of the QB’s, one of the other matchups that favors the Bills is this run defense of theirs, ranked #4 in the league. It’s the ground game that’s really been opening up this Bucs offense these past few weeks. The Bucs, unbeaten at home, they’re due for some regression there. I’ll take Buffalo +3.5, lock it up.