In State Betting Primer for NFL Week 15 + Gators vs Beavers

Florida bets!

1 lone bowl game inside the state…Florida vs Oregon State (-10)- Vegas Bowl, this Saturday @ 2:30. 66% of the bets and 91% of the cash on Oregon State according to Action Network.

Florida had a disappointing first season under Billy Napier, going 6-6 and losing its final two games of the season to Vanderbilt and Florida State. The Gators have already had six players hit the portal, and Jack Miller appears to be their starter. Both teams like to run the ball quite a bit…I figure we’ll see a pretty grindhouse game. I’d say Florida and the under (53) probably feel like the best plays.


Dolphins @ Bills (-7.5)- Weather game. Temp 32 degrees, could be snowy. The Dolphins haven’t always thrived in this environment. Tua has never started in a game where the temp is lower than 36. This is also a revenge spot for the Bills after losing in Miami in week 3. This has Bills smash all over it….they just haven’t been blowing teams out.

Cowboys @ Jags (+4.5)- Should be a gorgeous day @ TIAA Bank. The Jags coming off their best win of the season. The cowboys coming off a confusing game vs Houston. The Boys are 10-3 on the season but just 3-2 on the road. I want to take the Jags here, I just don’t trust their defense. They have way more to worry about than the titans do. I think Tony Pollard might dice them up. This was Cowboys -6 before the results of last week…feels like an over reaction.

Bengals @ Bucs (+3.5)- I don’t get this line at all. I haven’t bet it yet just because of my respect for the folks setting these lines but the bucs are terrible and the bengals are a top 4 team in the NFL in my opinion. Tee Higgins might not play, Hendrickson is out…maybe that’s why…the bucs just have no juice and the Bengals have all of it. 82% bets, 78% $. Last 5 games…Bucs 1-4 ATS. Bengals 5-0.

Buffalo Bills v Miami Dolphins

Photo: Getty Images

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