Florida Bets. Thinner slate than usual today because seasons have come to an end for Florida and Florida State. But UCF is in a conference title game and all 3 in state NFL teams are in action…
UCF (+4) @ Tulane- Line keeps moving, I think it was +2.5 when it opened…this tells us 2 things…1- sports bettors are becoming convinced that Plumlee’s hammy is an issue. 2- They are taking the revenge spot for Tulane very seriously. Last time these 2 teams met…UCF outgained Tulane on the ground, but Tulane was far superior through the air. Also, Tulane turned the ball over twice, UCF 0 times. If that flips, what does the game look like? If UCF struggles running, what does the game look like?
Jags (+1) @ Detroit- 2 teams who are both playing really well right now. Neither can be completely trusted but this should be a hard fought game. The Jags could be overvalued here because of the comeback win…but I also think the public likes betting Detroit. They covered on Turkey Day, people like that. Also- Jared Goff is 24-13 ATS (65%) in these early kickoffs at 1pm Eastern
Phins (+4) @ SF- I bet the Phins @ +3 so I think you know where I’m going with this. This is the most high-profile game the dolphins have played in since I was a child. The Terron Armstead injury is definitely a concern but my thought process is this…the 49ers defense has been dominant, but they also haven’t faced an offense like the dolphins in about a month…and the last time they did, it was the Chiefs, and they gave up 44 points on their home turf. Mike McDaniel knows what he’s stepping into…I think this game is going to be really close.
Bucs (-4) vs Saints- The under is probably the play in this one. Bucs unders are 9-2 this season. The Bucs have been pretty bad on offense, the Saints just scored 0 points in San Fran. We’re looking at a stinker. My gut tells me to play the Saints plus the points but I will definitely wait till Monday to put any chips on the table.