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PICKS: @BrandonKravitz Gives You His 4 Locks of the Football Weekend

Locks of the Week:

Letโ€™s review how I did last weekโ€ฆ3-1.

On the year: 13-16

1.Phins (-2.5) hosting the Chargers

a.Throwbacks! What other reason do I need? From a betting perspective, the fact that I can still get this under 3 points I like, the fact that the Chargers are flying across the country, I like. Tua has yet to lose, and as Danny Donohue told us on Monday, the Phins have the best cover differential in the league @ +11. Herbert has been special, but no one knows how to blow a game like this Chargers teamโ€ฆmaybe the Falcons, but thatโ€™s it.

2.Titans (-1) vs Colts TNF

a.I never get to pick Thursday night games on my list of locks, but here we go, an early bird special. I donโ€™t trust the colts as far as I can throw them, but Vegas, for whatever reason, keeps giving them this love they donโ€™t deserve. The Colts have 5 wins on the year, listen to who theyโ€™ve beaten: Vikings, Jets, Bears, Bengals, and Lions. Thatโ€™s 1 team above .500 and it was Nick Foles first week as a starter. I like Tennessee and I donโ€™t know why everyone is so slow to come around on them. Their defense is suspect but offensively, they can pack a punch, they can meet you in a shootout, and they can ground and pound with the best of โ€˜em. This oneโ€™s easy for me, almost too easy. Titans get another W.

3.Texans (+3) @ Cleveland

a.Talk about overvalued, my goodness. The last time we saw the Browns, all they could muster, in a home game mind-you, was 6 points against the Raiders. Nick Chubb should be back for this one, but I canโ€™t trust Cleveland. Houston on the other hand, you can kind of sense them turning the corner a bit. They got off to a terrible start, but, theyโ€™ve won 2 of their last 4, and letโ€™s be honest. They have the better QB here. The Browns snubbed Watson in the 2017 draft, opting to go with Myles Garrett, Duke Johnson is starting for the Texansโ€ฆanother revenge spot. Oh, and Romeo Crennel, current Texans interim, was fired by the Browns. Houston wins and covers. (Also, for what its worth, 67% of bettors are on the Browns, same % that took Seattle last week vs Buffalo)

4.UCF -24.5 vs Temple

a.I know, nearly 25 points is A LOT, and I donโ€™t like that either, but perhaps we donโ€™t appreciate just how bad Temple is. UCF has tripped up a couple times this year but that was against decent competition, that wonโ€™t be the case here. Temple has lost 3 straight and has given up 41, 38, and 47 points in those games. All against offenses not as good as UCF. Letโ€™s also remember, the last time the Knights played at home, it was a little less than a month ago, so theyโ€™ll be happy to get some home cooking. I think this team is poised for another breakout performance, theyโ€™re over the stink from the beginning of the year. UCF wallops the Owls. Take the Knights, give the points.

Miami Dolphins v Arizona Cardinals

photo: getty images


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