Flyers vs. Lightning Prediction & Picks - Oct. 5

The Tampa Bay Lightning (1-1) host the Philadelphia Flyers (0-1-2, losers of three in a row) at Benchmark International Arena. The matchup on Monday, Oct. 5 starts at 7 p.m. ET on NHL Network.

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Prepare for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will win the game in Monday's hockey action.

Flyers vs. Lightning Predictions for Monday

Our computer model for this matchup calls for a final score of Lightning 5, Flyers 0.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-221)
• Total Pick: Under 6 (computer predicts 5.3 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning (50-26-6 overall) had a 12-8-20 record last season in matchups that needed overtime.
• In the 32 games Tampa Bay played that were decided by one goal, it had a 14-12-6 record (good for 34 points).
• Looking at the 11 times last season the Lightning finished a game with just one goal, they had a 3-7-1 record, picking up seven points.
• Tampa Bay finished 5-12-4 in the 21 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 14 points).
• The Lightning scored more than two goals 55 times, and went 45-7-3 in those games (to record 93 points).
• In the 30 games when Tampa Bay recorded a single power-play goal, it went 17-9-4 to register 38 points.
• In the 51 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay was 30-15-6 (66 points).
• The Lightning were outshot by their opponent in 36 games, going 21-13-2 to record 44 points.

Flyers Splits and Trends

• The Flyers had a record of 43-27-12 last season and were 17-14-31 in overtime games.
• In the 25 games Philadelphia played that were decided by one goal, it picked up 28 points.
• Last season the Flyers recorded just one goal in 15 games, and went 1-10-4 (six points).
• Philadelphia picked up 22 points (8-10-6 record) last season when scoring exactly two goals .
• The Flyers picked up 80 points in their 49 games when they scored three or more goals.
• Philadelphia scored a lone power-play goal in 26 games last season and picked up 34 points.
• When outshooting its opponent last season, Philadelphia was 18-15-3 (39 points).
• The Flyers were outshot by their opponents in 51 games last season, going 27-15-9 to record 63 points.

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Team Stats Comparison (2025-26)

Flyers vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: NHL Network
• Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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