Lightning vs. Bruins Prediction & Picks - April 4

After Anthony Cirelli's three-goal game in the Tampa Bay Lightning's 6-3 win against the Pittsburgh Penguins, the Lightning (47-22-6) host the Boston Bruins (43-25-8) on Saturday at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a peek at which team we predict will come out on top in Saturday's action on the ice.

The Bruins are 6-2-2 in their last 10 contests, totaling 37 goals while giving up 27 in that time. On 28 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored six goals (21.4%).

Lightning vs. Bruins Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this game expects a final result of Lightning 4, Bruins 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-187)
• Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning (47-22-6 overall) have a 9-6-15 record in contests that have required overtime.
• Tampa Bay is 9-9-4 (22 points) in its 22 games decided by one goal.
• The eight times this season the Lightning finished a game with only one goal, they went 2-5-1 (five points).
• Tampa Bay has finished 4-8-3 in the 15 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering 11 points).
• The Lightning have scored at least three goals 50 times, and are 41-7-2 in those games (to register 84 points).
• In the 26 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 16-7-3 record (35 points).
• In the 42 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 25-12-5 (55 points).
• The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 31 games. The Lightning finished 20-10-1 in those contests (41 points).

Bruins Splits and Trends

• The Bruins have a 12-8-20 record in overtime matchups this season and a 43-25-8 overall record.
• In the 27 games Boston has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 35 points.
• Across the nine games this season the Bruins finished with just one goal, they have earned three points.
• Boston has 13 points (6-9-1) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
• The Bruins have scored at least three goals 51 times, earning 78 points from those matchups (36-9-6).
• This season, Boston has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 34 games and registered 39 points with a record of 17-12-5.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Boston is 16-11-3 (35 points).
• The Bruins' opponents have had more shots in 44 games. The Bruins went 27-12-5 in those matchups (59 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Bruins Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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