Lightning vs. Hurricanes Prediction & Picks - March 14

The Eastern Conference's third-ranked squad, the Tampa Bay Lightning (40-20-4), host the top-ranked unit from the conference, the Carolina Hurricanes (41-18-6), on Saturday, March 14 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Get ready for this matchup by checking out our pick for who will win the game in Saturday's hockey action.

In the last 10 games, the Hurricanes are 7-3-0. They have put up 38 goals, while allowing their opponents to score 29. They have gone on the power play 27 times during that span, and have capitalized with seven goals (25.9% of opportunities).

Lightning vs. Hurricanes Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this game calls for a final tally of Lightning 4, Hurricanes 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-125)
• Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Hurricanes (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning are 40-20-4 overall and 9-4-13 in overtime games.
• Tampa Bay has 18 points (8-9-2) in the 19 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• Looking at the seven times this season the Lightning ended a game with only one goal, they have a 2-4-1 record, good for five points.
• Tampa Bay has taken 11 points from the 14 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (4-7-3 record).
• The Lightning are 34-7-0 in the 41 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 68 points).
• In the 23 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 14-7-2 to register 30 points.
• In the 35 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 21-11-3 (45 points).
• The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 28 games. The Lightning finished 18-9-1 in those contests (37 points).

Hurricanes Splits and Trends

• The Hurricanes (41-18-6 overall) have posted a record of 11-6-17 in matchups that have required OT this season.
• In the 21 games Carolina has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 31 points.
• This season the Hurricanes registered only one goal in 10 games and they've earned two points (1-9-0) in those contests.
• Carolina has eight points (4-3-0) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
• The Hurricanes have scored more than two goals in 47 games, earning 78 points from those contests.
• This season, Carolina has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 24 games has a record of 17-6-1 in those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Carolina is 37-12-4 (78 points).
• The Hurricanes' opponents have had more shots in 10 games. The Hurricanes finished 3-5-2 in those contests (eight points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Hurricanes Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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