Lightning vs. Bruins Prediction & Picks - Feb. 1

The Tampa Bay Lightning (34-14-4) will aim to continue a seven-game home win streak when they play the Boston Bruins (32-20-3) on Sunday, Feb. 1 at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a peek at which team we predict will come out on top in Sunday's action on the ice.

The Bruins are 8-1-1 in the past 10 games, scoring 35 total goals (eight power-play goals on 25 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 32.0%). They have allowed 25 goals to their opponents.

Lightning vs. Bruins Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final tally of Lightning 4, Bruins 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-216)
• Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Bruins (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning have a 34-14-4 record overall, with a 7-4-11 record in matchups that have gone to overtime.
• Tampa Bay has 16 points (7-7-2) in the 16 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• Looking at the five times this season the Lightning ended a game with only one goal, they have a 2-2-1 record, good for five points.
• Tampa Bay has finished 4-5-3 in the 12 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 11 points).
• The Lightning have scored more than two goals 33 times, and are 28-5-0 in those games (to record 56 points).
• In the 16 games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it has a 10-4-2 record (22 points).
• In the 28 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 16-9-3 (35 points).
• The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 23 games. The Lightning went 17-5-1 in those matchups (35 points).

Bruins Splits and Trends

• The Bruins have a 32-20-3 record this season and are 8-3-11 in matchups that have required overtime.
• Boston has earned 26 points (12-6-2) in its 20 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• This season the Bruins scored just one goal in seven games and have gone 1-5-1 (three points).
• When Boston has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned six points (3-7-0 record).
• The Bruins have scored three or more goals in 38 games, earning 58 points from those contests.
• Boston has scored a single power-play goal in 24 games this season and has recorded 27 points from those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Boston is 9-8-2 (20 points).
• The Bruins have been outshot by opponents in 34 games, going 23-10-1 to register 47 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Bruins Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 6:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida

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