The Tampa Bay Lightning (26-13-3) and Philadelphia Flyers (22-12-8) play at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Saturday, Jan. 10 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning knocked off the Colorado Avalanche 4-2 in their most recent outing, while the Flyers are coming off a 2-1 overtime loss to the Toronto Maple Leafs.
Sign up for ESPN+ today to watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more.
Get ready for this matchup with a glimpse at who we predict will come out on top in Saturday's contest.
The Flyers have gone 5-3-2 in the last 10 contests, scoring 34 total goals (four power-play goals on 32 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 12.5%). They have conceded 27 goals to their opponents.
Lightning vs. Flyers Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projection model for this matchup calls for a final score of Flyers 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Flyers (+148)
- Total Pick: Under 6 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Flyers (+1.5)
Watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more streaming all season on ESPN+.
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning (26-13-3 overall) have a 5-3-8 record in matchups that have required overtime.
- Tampa Bay has 16 points (7-7-2) in the 16 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the three games this season the Lightning registered only one goal, they finished 0-2-1.
- Tampa Bay has taken eight points from the 10 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (3-5-2 record).
- The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 27 games (23-4-0, 46 points).
- In the 15 games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it registered 22 points after finishing 10-3-2.
- In the 20 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 9-9-2 (20 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 21 games, going 16-4-1 to record 33 points.
Flyers Splits and Trends
- The Flyers have posted a record of 7-8-15 in overtime games on their way to an overall mark of 22-12-8.
- Philadelphia has earned nine points (2-4-5) in its 11 games decided by one goal.
- This season the Flyers scored just one goal in nine games and they've earned two points (0-7-2) in those contests.
- Philadelphia has seven points (2-3-3) when scoring two goals this season.
- The Flyers have scored at least three goals in 24 games, earning 43 points from those contests.
- Philadelphia has scored a single power-play goal in 10 games this season and has recorded 14 points from those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Philadelphia is 12-6-2 (26 points).
- The Flyers' opponents have had more shots in 20 games. The Flyers finished 9-6-5 in those contests (23 points).
Looking for NHL tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.
Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Flyers AVG | Flyers Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 3.45 | Goals Scored | 2.98 | 20th |
| 3rd | 2.64 | Goals Allowed | 2.79 | 8th |
| 20th | 27.3 | Shots | 26.2 | 25th |
| 7th | 26.6 | Shots Allowed | 25.5 | 5th |
| 18th | 19.26% | Power Play % | 15% | 30th |
| 5th | 83.57% | Penalty Kill % | 80.47% | 15th |
Lightning vs. Flyers Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Saturday, January 10, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Sign up for ESPN+ to watch the Lightning take on Flyers.