Lightning vs. Panthers Prediction & Picks - Dec. 27

The Tampa Bay Lightning (20-13-3) visit the Florida Panthers (20-14-2) at Amerant Bank Arena on Saturday, Dec. 27 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with both teams fresh off of a win. The Lightning are coming off a 4-1 win over the St. Louis Blues, while the Panthers took down the Carolina Hurricanes 5-2 in their most recent game.

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As hockey play continues, get ready for the contest by checking out which squad we predict will pick up the victory in Saturday's game.

In the past 10 games, the Panthers are 8-2-0 while putting up 39 total goals (seven power-play goals on 31 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 22.6%). They have allowed 30 goals.

Lightning vs. Panthers Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this matchup expects a final result of Panthers 4, Lightning 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-105)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Panthers (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning (20-13-3 overall) have a 3-3-6 record in games that have gone to overtime.
  • Tampa Bay is 6-7-2 (14 points) in its 15 games decided by one goal.
  • In the three games this season the Lightning registered only one goal, they finished 0-2-1.
  • Tampa Bay has taken eight points from the 10 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (3-5-2 record).
  • The Lightning have scored three or more goals 21 times, and are 17-4-0 in those games (to record 34 points).
  • In the 12 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 7-3-2 to record 16 points.
  • When it has outshot opponents, Tampa Bay is 6-9-2 (14 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 18 games, going 13-4-1 to register 27 points.

Panthers Splits and Trends

  • The Panthers have posted a record of 3-2-5 in overtime matchups on their way to an overall mark of 20-14-2.
  • Florida has earned 17 points (8-0-1) in its nine games decided by one goal.
  • Across the seven games this season the Panthers finished with just one goal, they have earned three points.
  • Florida has three points (1-4-1) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
  • The Panthers have scored at least three goals in 22 games, earning 36 points from those contests.
  • Florida has scored a single power-play goal in 13 games this season and has registered 16 points from those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Florida has posted a record of 11-8-2 (24 points).
  • The Panthers' opponents have had more shots in 15 games. The Panthers finished 9-6-0 in those contests (18 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Panthers AVG Panthers Rank
6th 3.25 Goals Scored 3.19 9th
4th 2.61 Goals Allowed 3.14 18th
20th 27.6 Shots 29.3 7th
6th 26.5 Shots Allowed 26.6 7th
22nd 17.24% Power Play % 19.05% 17th
3rd 84.35% Penalty Kill % 82.2% 11th

Lightning vs. Panthers Game Time and TV Channel

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