Something has to give when the New York Rangers (13-11-2, on a three-game winning streak) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (15-7-2, winners of six in a row). The contest on Saturday, Nov. 29 starts at 2 p.m. ET on NHL Network.
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To prepare for this matchup, here is who we expect to take home the victory in Saturday's hockey game.
The Lightning have gone 8-2-0 in the last 10 games, totaling 37 total goals (five power-play goals on 27 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 18.5%). They have conceded 23 goals to their opponents.
Rangers vs. Lightning Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projections model for this game predicts a final score of Rangers 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-128)
- Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 5.7 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)
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Rangers Splits and Trends
- The Rangers are 13-11-2 overall and 3-2-5 in overtime games.
- New York is 4-4-2 (10 points) in its 10 games decided by one goal.
- The five times this season the Rangers finished a game with only one goal, they went 1-3-1 (three points).
- New York finished 1-2-0 in the three games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering two points).
- The Rangers are 11-1-1 in the 13 games when they have scored at least three goals (to register 23 points).
- In the seven games when New York has recorded a lone power-play goal, it registered 11 points after finishing 5-1-1.
- In the 11 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, New York is 5-4-2 (12 points).
- The Rangers have been outshot by opponents in 15 games, going 8-7-0 to record 16 points.
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning (15-7-2 overall) have posted a record of 3-2-5 in matchups that have gone to OT this season.
- In the 12 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 14 points.
- This season the Lightning scored just one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
- Tampa Bay has seven points (3-4-1) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
- The Lightning have earned 24 points in their 15 games with three or more goals scored.
- This season, Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in eight games has a record of 6-1-1 in those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 4-3-1 (nine points).
- The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 16 games. The Lightning went 11-4-1 in those contests (23 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Rangers Rank | Rangers AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28th | 2.69 | Goals Scored | 3.33 | 7th |
| 3rd | 2.58 | Goals Allowed | 2.67 | 6th |
| 24th | 26.2 | Shots | 26 | 25th |
| 19th | 28.2 | Shots Allowed | 28 | 18th |
| 13th | 22.03% | Power Play % | 16% | 23rd |
| 18th | 80.26% | Penalty Kill % | 88.46% | 1st |
Rangers vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 2 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: NHL Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York
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