Lightning vs. Oilers Prediction & Picks - Nov. 20

Following Jake Guentzel's three-goal performance in the Tampa Bay Lightning's 5-1 win over the New Jersey Devils, the Lightning (10-7-2) host the Edmonton Oilers (9-9-4) on Thursday at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Before watching this matchup, here is our pick for which team will secure the win in Thursday's hockey action.

The Oilers have gone 4-5-1 over their past 10 games, scoring 29 goals while allowing 39 in that period. On 22 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored seven goals (31.8%).

Lightning vs. Oilers Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this game predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Oilers 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-167)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning have a 10-7-2 record overall, with a 2-2-4 record in games that have gone to overtime.
• Tampa Bay has 12 points (5-4-2) in the 11 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• In the one game this season the Lightning scored just one goal, they lost in overtime.
• Tampa Bay has finished 2-4-1 in the seven games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering five points).
• The Lightning have scored three or more goals in 11 games (8-3-0, 16 points).
• In the six games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 4-1-1 to record nine points.
• In games when it has outshot opponents, Tampa Bay is 3-3-1 (seven points).
• The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 12 times, and went 7-4-1 (15 points).

Oilers Splits and Trends

• The Oilers (9-9-4 overall) have posted a record of 5-4-9 in contests that have gone to OT this season.
• In the 11 games Edmonton has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 14 points.
• This season the Oilers registered only one goal in two games and they lost both times.
• When Edmonton has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned four points (2-4-0 record).
• The Oilers have earned 18 points in their 14 games with three or more goals scored.
• Edmonton has scored a lone power-play goal in nine games this season and has recorded five points from those matchups.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Edmonton has posted a record of 7-7-3 (17 points).
• The Oilers' opponents have had more shots in five games. The Oilers went 2-2-1 in those matchups (five points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Oilers Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, November 20, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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