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The Vegas Golden Knights (7-2-3) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (6-5-2) at T-Mobile Arena on Thursday, Nov. 6 at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Golden Knights knocked off the Detroit Red Wings 1-0 in their most recent outing, while the Lightning are coming off a 3-2 loss to the Colorado Avalanche.
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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a look at which club we predict will emerge with the victory in Thursday's action on the ice.
The Lightning have scored 26 goals over their past 10 outings, while allowing 23 goals. A total of 36 power-play opportunities during that time have turned into four power-play goals (11.1%). They are 5-3-2 over those contests.
Golden Knights vs. Lightning Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projections model for this game expects a final tally of Golden Knights 4, Lightning 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Golden Knights (-120)
- Total Pick: Under 6 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Golden Knights (-1.5)
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Golden Knights Splits and Trends
- The Golden Knights (7-2-3 overall) have a 1-3-4 record in matchups that have required overtime.
- Vegas has eight points (3-0-2) in the five games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- Looking at the three times this season the Golden Knights finished a game with only one goal, they have a 1-0-2 record, good for four points.
- Vegas has lost the only game this season when it scored exactly two goals.
- The Golden Knights are 6-0-1 in the seven games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 13 points).
- In the four games when Vegas has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 2-1-1 to register five points.
- In the eight games when it outshot its opponent, Vegas is 6-0-2 (14 points).
- The Golden Knights have been outshot by opponents in four games, going 1-2-1 to record three points.
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have a 2-2-4 record in overtime contests this season and a 6-5-2 overall record.
- Tampa Bay has earned 10 points (4-4-2) in its 10 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- This season the Lightning scored just one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
- Tampa Bay has five points (2-3-1) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
- The Lightning have scored at least three goals six times, earning eight points from those matchups (4-2-0).
- This season, Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal in four games has a record of 2-1-1 in those matchups.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Tampa Bay has posted a record of 3-1-1 (seven points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in eight games, going 3-4-1 to record seven points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Golden Knights Rank | Golden Knights AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12th | 3.33 | Goals Scored | 2.85 | 19th |
| 5th | 2.58 | Goals Allowed | 2.77 | 9th |
| 14th | 28.5 | Shots | 26.5 | 25th |
| 6th | 25.5 | Shots Allowed | 28.5 | 16th |
| 8th | 25% | Power Play % | 13.64% | 28th |
| 15th | 81.25% | Penalty Kill % | 88.64% | 4th |
Golden Knights vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Thursday, November 6, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada
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