Lightning vs. Red Wings Prediction & Picks - January 18

Washington Capitals v Detroit Red Wings

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (24-16-3) carry a three-game home win streak into a matchup against the Detroit Red Wings (21-19-4), who have won three in a row on the road, on Saturday, January 18 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our pick for which team will secure the win in Saturday's hockey action.

The Red Wings have gone 8-2-0 over the past 10 games, scoring 41 total goals (17 power-play goals on 34 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 50.0%). They have allowed 29 goals to their opponents.

Lightning vs. Red Wings Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final tally of Lightning 4, Red Wings 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-202)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning are 24-16-3 overall and 4-3-7 in overtime contests.
  • Tampa Bay has 12 points (5-6-2) in the 13 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the five games this season the Lightning recorded just one goal, they finished 0-4-1.
  • Tampa Bay finished 0-7-1 in the eight games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering one point).
  • The Lightning are 24-5-1 in the 30 games when they have scored at least three goals (to record 49 points).
  • In the 14 games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it has a 9-5-0 record (18 points).
  • In games when it has outshot opponents, Tampa Bay is 13-9-0 (26 points).
  • The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 18 games. The Lightning finished 10-5-3 in those contests (23 points).

Red Wings Splits and Trends

  • The Red Wings have a record of 21-19-4 this season and are 4-4-8 in overtime contests.
  • Detroit has earned 18 points (7-5-4) in its 16 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Red Wings recorded only one goal in nine games and they've earned two points (1-8-0) in those contests.
  • Detroit has eight points (3-3-2) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
  • The Red Wings have scored three or more goals in 25 games, earning 36 points from those contests.
  • This season, Detroit has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 13 games and registered 12 points with a record of 5-6-2.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Detroit is 8-7-0 (16 points).
  • The Red Wings have been outshot by opponents 26 times this season, and earned 24 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Red Wings AVG Red Wings Rank
1st 3.63 Goals Scored 2.91 20th
11th 2.81 Goals Allowed 3.2 25th
13th 28.7 Shots 25.4 30th
17th 28.6 Shots Allowed 29.4 26th
6th 26.19% Power Play % 30.3% 2nd
9th 82.3% Penalty Kill % 69.3% 31st

Lightning vs. Red Wings Game Time and TV Channel

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