Lightning vs. Flames Prediction & Picks - December 12

Tampa Bay Lightning v Vancouver Canucks

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (14-10-2) and Calgary Flames (14-10-5) play at Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday, December 12 at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Lightning lost to the Edmonton Oilers 2-1 in their last outing, while the Flames are coming off a 4-3 win over the Nashville Predators.

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Here is our pick for who will capture the win in Thursday's game.

In the last 10 contests, the Flames have put up a record of 4-4-2. They have scored 26 goals, while their opponents have scored 34. They have gone on the power play 31 times during that span, and have capitalized with 10 goals (32.3% of opportunities).

Lightning vs. Flames Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this matchup expects a final tally of Lightning 4, Flames 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-153)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Flames (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have finished 3-2-5 in overtime contests as part of an overall record of 14-10-2.
  • In the nine games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 4-4-1 record (good for nine points).
  • In the two games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
  • Tampa Bay has lost all four games this season when it scored two goals.
  • The Lightning are 14-5-1 in the 20 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 29 points).
  • In the eight games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it has a 4-4-0 record (eight points).
  • In the 14 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 8-6-0 (16 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 10 times, and went 5-3-2 (12 points).

Flames Splits and Trends

  • The Flames (14-10-5 overall) have posted a record of 5-5-10 in matchups that have required OT this season.
  • Calgary has earned 12 points (4-1-4) in its nine games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Flames registered only one goal in five games and have gone 1-2-2 (four points).
  • Calgary has earned three points (1-5-1 record) this season when scoring two goals .
  • The Flames have scored more than two goals in 16 games, earning 26 points from those contests.
  • This season, Calgary has recorded a single power-play goal in 12 games has a record of 5-3-4 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Calgary is 10-2-2 (22 points).
  • The Flames' opponents have had more shots in 14 games. The Flames finished 4-7-3 in those contests (11 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Flames AVG Flames Rank
2nd 3.81 Goals Scored 2.59 26th
11th 2.96 Goals Allowed 2.97 13th
17th 28.7 Shots 29.8 9th
11th 28 Shots Allowed 29.4 24th
8th 25.32% Power Play % 21.43% 15th
15th 80.26% Penalty Kill % 74.16% 26th

Lightning vs. Flames Game Time and TV Channel

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