The Florida Panthers (21-11-2) visit the Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2) at Amalie Arena on Sunday, December 22 at 5:00 PM ET on ESPN+, with both teams heading into the game following a win. The Panthers are coming off a 2-1 overtime win over the St. Louis Blues, while the Lightning took down the St. Louis Blues 3-1 in their last outing.

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Here's our prediction for who will claim the victory in Sunday's game.

Over the past 10 contests, the Lightning have gone 7-3-0 while totaling 44 goals against 24 goals allowed. On 29 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored 11 goals (37.9%).

Panthers vs. Lightning Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Panthers 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-109)
Total Pick: Over 6.5 (computer predicts 6.8 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Panthers Splits and Trends

The Panthers (21-11-2 overall) have a 4-2-6 record in contests that have required overtime.
Florida has 12 points (5-0-2) in the seven games it has played that were decided by one goal.
In the six games this season the Panthers scored just one goal, they've finished 1-5-0 (two points).
Florida has finished 1-2-1 in the four games this season when it scored two goals (registering three points).
The Panthers have scored at least three goals 22 times, and are 19-2-1 in those games (to register 39 points).
In the 14 games when Florida has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it registered 20 points after finishing 9-3-2.
In the 17 games when it outshot its opponent, Florida is 10-6-1 (21 points).
The Panthers have been outshot by opponents in 12 games, going 7-4-1 to record 15 points.

Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning (18-10-2 overall) have posted a record of 3-2-5 in games that have needed OT this season.
In the nine games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up nine points.
This season the Lightning scored only one goal in two games and they finished 0-1-1 in those matchups.
Tampa Bay failed to win all four games this season when it scored two goals.
The Lightning have earned 37 points in their 24 games with more than two goals scored.
This season, Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 10 games and picked up 12 points with a record of 6-4-0.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 11-6-0 (22 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 11 games, going 6-3-2 to record 14 points.

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Team Stats Comparison