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Kravitz Blog: NFL Draft Will Create More Drama Than Expected

So itโ€™s 20 days until the NFL Draftand I woke up today feeling a little depressed.

A little depressed in the thought that we kind of already know who the top 6 picks will be. I mean, whatโ€™s the point of the chatter, the debate, the thought put behind mock drafts and big boards if we already know the top 1/3rd of the draft?!

1.Lawrence, 2. Wilson, 3. Jones, 4. Someone trades up for Fields, 5. Penei Sewell, 6. Jaโ€™Mar Chase or Kyle Pitts the big mysteryโ€ฆ

But truthfullyโ€ฆas I sat back and pondered this inevitabilityโ€ฆI realizedโ€ฆits not quite as obvious as weโ€™re making it out to be.

1, 2, and 3 sure. If you believe Jones is going to the 49ersโ€ฆand Iโ€™m still bullish on that being the wrong move and flatout bad idea. Butโ€ฆif thatโ€™s what you believe. You can create plenty of mysteries after that. Falcons likely moving out of that spot- but who moves up? Is it the Broncos @ 9, the Lions @ 7, Pats @ 15? Maybe a surprise team like Washington @ 19 or Chicago @ 20.

Then you get to the Bengals. And this is where my mind has really shiftedโ€ฆoriginally I felt it would be criminal for the bengals not to draft Sewellโ€ฆbut the truth is, their o-line is so bad, they arenโ€™t fixing it with one guy. An argument could be made that drafting an elite WR would buy Burrow just as much time as a solid LT.

6. We still donโ€™t know who the Phins prefer between Chase, Pitts, and the Bama guys.

Letโ€™s also not rule outโ€ฆthere could be 5 QBโ€™s that get drafted in the top 5.

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Back to the Jones thingโ€ฆallow me to explain a simple theory I have in life: Never compare an unknown to the best possible outcome.

Meaning: You canโ€™t look at a slice of pizza and go: That looks like the best pizza Iโ€™ve ever had, so itโ€™s probably going to taste like the best pizza Iโ€™ve ever had.

Similarly, you canโ€™t look at mac jones and say โ€˜he plays like bradyโ€™ and assume heโ€™s going to be brady. 9x out of 10 youโ€™ll be wrong.

CFP National Championship Presented by AT&T - Ohio State v Alabama

photo: getty images


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