Full disclosure record on the year: 22-28
Let's turn this ship around!
1.(14) Northwestern +20 vs Ohio State (4) @ Lucas Oil Stadium
a.I get we’re all enamored with Ohio State and they certainly have talent for days, but Northwestern is no push over. The Wildcats are 6-1, with a big win over Wisconsin this season. NW’s defense is giving up just 14 points per game and Ohio State hasn’t played since the start of the month. They’ll spend a half just shaking the rust off. Take NW plus the points.
2.Bucs -6 @ Atlanta
a.Brady and the Bucs are dealing with some COVID issues but it’s not real concern. So ROJO is out…Bruce might not even call a run play in this game. Atlanta’s defense allows more QB’s to go berserk than any other team in the NFL. Bucs got a big win last week, I think they capitalize this week as well. 6-1 against teams with a losing record this year. And I’m pretty sure Matt Ryan still pees down his leg a little bit when Brady is on the other sideline.
3.Browns @ Giants (+6.5)
a.The Browns have impressed me a lot this year and especially as of late, I think Baker Mayfield is playing like someone who deserves a contract extension…but even with all of that, and the effective run game they have, their defense has been terrible. I don’t love the set back last week from the Giants, getting beaten by the Cardinals…but, that’s why you get the bargain here. Sunday night football, everyone in the world will be chasing money and betting the Browns, run counter to that trend. Bet the G-men on Sunday night +6.5.
4.Pats @ Phins (-3)
a.Give me the Miami Dolphins all day long. Brian Flores vs Bill Belichick. Protégé vs Sensai…usually Belichick chews up and spits out his former employees, but Flores, Flores seems a little different. Don’t be fooled by their first meeting either. Dolphins lost 21-11 in New England, but the Miami defense hadn’t rounded into shape yet, new guys playing with one another. Plus, Tua isn’t going to make the mistakes Fitzpatrick would make against a Bill Belichick defense. Miami should be getting some semblance of a running game back…the Phins always find a way to take 1 in this series…I don’t just like Miami here…I loooove Miami in this spot. Take the Phins -3.
photo: getty images