Every week, I give you my top picks of the week, nay,my locks of the week. Take it to the bank! Let’s go with my stone cold locks!
Let’s review how I did last week…3-1.
On the year: 20-22
Don’t call it a comeback kids, daddy is cooking now!
1.Falcons (+3) @ home vs the Saints
a.This is my time to shine, I called Taysom Hill a bad QB when he was named the replacement for Brees, and now I get the chance to be proven right. He’s 2-0 but let’s breakdown how and why he’s 2-0. I will give you, he took the Falcons by surprise the first time he started, then he played against a team starting a practice squad WR. Now the Falcons have film on him as the signal caller for the very first time, and I think this could be a blood bath. Love the Saints D, but the Falcons are alive again after putting up 43 on the Raiders. Take the Falcons catching 3 at home.
2.Giants (+10) @ Seattle
a.I’m sorry, what?! I get a giants team that is scorching hot and you’re going to give me double digits?! Sign. Me. Up. Seattle has no business being favored by this much. Wilson is great, that offense is stellar, but they’re not in the blowout business…they’re in the, keep things close, and then let Russ cook business. Seattle has 8 wins, only 2 have been by double digits, and one of those 2 was by exactly 10. Back the G-Men, take the points.
3.Chargers (pick ‘em) vs New England in LA
a.As I mention often, I’m looking for value. As much as I love Bill, and I’m sure he’ll throw some things as Justin Herbert that confuses the rookie, I’m not sure they can hang. The Chargers have shown an ability to score on just about anybody they play, and the Pats have 1 formula of victory, keep the score low. In fact, in 3 of their 5 wins this year they’ve had to score 23 or less to pull out the W. They’ll need more than that to beat the Chargers, and I’m not sure they can do it. Back the rookie in a pick ‘em.
4.Bama -29.5 @ LSU
a.Going college for my final pick. Now the last thing Bama needs is style points, they’ll get into the playoff with or without them, but just look @ the way they’re playing this year. No mercy against anyone, and a road game @ LSU doesn’t scare you with limited fans and the fact that LSU sucks this year. Last week, Bama beat Auburn by 29, so your basically asking for that number +1 against a far worse opponent. I’m sure Bama wants to remind them who the kings of the SEC West are after what happened last year. If this # stays where it is, back Bama with confidence.
photo: getty images