The Eastern Conference's fourth-ranked squad, the Tampa Bay Lightning (38-23-5), host the 15th-ranked group from the Eastern Conference, the Philadelphia Flyers (28-32-8), on Monday, March 17 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Here is our prediction for who will secure the victory in Monday's matchup.

During the last 10 outings for the Flyers, their offense has totaled 22 goals while their defense has given up 34 (they have a 3-6-1 record in those games). In 23 power-play opportunities during that time, they have capitalized with one goal (4.3% success rate).

Lightning vs. Flyers Predictions for Monday

Our computer projections model for this contest calls for a final result of Lightning 5, Flyers 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-322)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning are 5-5-10 in overtime contests on their way to a 38-23-5 overall record.
In the 19 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-8-3 record (good for 19 points).
In the eight games this season the Lightning recorded just one goal, they finished 0-7-1.
Tampa Bay finished 0-8-2 in the 10 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering two points).
The Lightning have scored three or more goals 46 times, and are 38-6-2 in those games (to record 78 points).
In the 24 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has a 17-6-1 record (35 points).
When it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 20-13-0 (40 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 29 games, going 17-7-5 to register 39 points.

Flyers Splits and Trends

The Flyers have posted a record of 11-8-19 in overtime matchups to contribute to an overall mark of 28-32-8.
Philadelphia has earned 23 points (9-5-5) in its 19 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
In 11 games this season when the Flyers ended a game with just one goal, they earned a total of four points (2-9-0).
Philadelphia has earned 11 points (4-5-3 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
The Flyers have scored at least three goals in 39 games, earning 49 points from those contests.
Philadelphia has scored a lone power-play goal in 18 games this season and has registered 22 points from those matchups.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Philadelphia has posted a record of 18-11-4 (40 points).
The Flyers' opponents have had more shots in 34 games. The Flyers went 9-21-4 in those matchups (22 points).

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