Lightning vs. Flyers Prediction & Picks - March 13

Philadelphia Flyers v Los Angeles Kings

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (37-23-4) visit the Philadelphia Flyers (27-31-8), who have fallen in five in a row, on Thursday, March 13 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Before watching this matchup, here's our prediction for which team will emerge victorious in Thursday's hockey action.

Over the last 10 contests for the Flyers, their offense has scored 28 goals while their defense has allowed 31 (they have a 4-5-1 record in those games). In 22 power-play opportunities during that span, they have capitalized with two goals (9.1% conversion rate).

Lightning vs. Flyers Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this game predicts a final score of Lightning 4, Flyers 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-155)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Flyers (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have finished 5-4-9 in overtime games to contribute to an overall record of 37-23-4.
  • Tampa Bay has 19 points (8-8-3) in the 19 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the eight games this season the Lightning registered only one goal, they finished 0-7-1.
  • Tampa Bay finished 0-8-2 in the 10 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering two points).
  • The Lightning are 37-6-1 in the 44 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 75 points).
  • In the 23 games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it registered 34 points after finishing 17-6-0.
  • In the 32 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 19-13-0 (38 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 28 times, and went 17-7-4 (38 points).

Flyers Splits and Trends

  • The Flyers have a 10-8-18 record in overtime contests this season and a 27-31-8 overall record.
  • Philadelphia has earned 23 points (9-5-5) in its 19 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Flyers scored only one goal in 11 games and have gone 2-9-0 (four points).
  • When Philadelphia has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned 11 points (4-5-3 record).
  • The Flyers have scored at least three goals 38 times, earning 47 points from those matchups (21-12-5).
  • This season, Philadelphia has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 18 games and picked up 22 points with a record of 10-6-2.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Philadelphia has posted a record of 17-11-4 (38 points).
  • The Flyers have been outshot by opponents in 33 games, going 9-20-4 to record 22 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Flyers AVG Flyers Rank
2nd 3.5 Goals Scored 2.79 23rd
7th 2.69 Goals Allowed 3.35 28th
11th 28.8 Shots 27.2 27th
19th 28.7 Shots Allowed 27 8th
6th 25.97% Power Play % 15.03% 30th
8th 81.6% Penalty Kill % 78.13% 18th

Lightning vs. Flyers Game Time and TV Channel

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