Podcast: Dan Wolken, USA Today on the challenge the NBA Draft presents

posted by Kravitz - 

Dan Wolken from USA Today laments the fact that every year we over-hype NBA Draft prospects, and most every year, they disappoint us. The numbers back it up.

Courtesy of USA Today: 

Over a 25-year period from 1990 to 2014, 80 percent of the players drafted No. 1, 2 and 3 have averaged at least 10 points in the NBA. From picks 4-7, it drops to 61 percent. From picks 8-11, you’re down to less than a coin flip chance (42 percent) of finding a double-figure scorer. And then from picks 12-15, it dips all the way to 29 percent. 

Again, that’s just one metric, and there are certainly a number of valuable defensive players and bench guys who average fewer than 10 points. But as a baseline for judging the eventual impact of lottery picks, it’s pretty clear: Despite all the hype and analysis built into Thursday night, we’re basically throwing darts after the top three. - Dan Wolken 

Well, the Magic pick 6th, and the numbers are not kind to them to find the next NBA star. 

Listen to Dan explain his article below. 

2017 NBA Draft

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